Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.039881 0.045257 0.051234 0.058397 0.066782 0.076327 0.088071
2024-10-06 0.033065 0.040595 0.049796 0.061985 0.077888 0.098180 0.126438
2024-10-13 0.026698 0.034460 0.044538 0.058803 0.078839 0.106533 0.148711
2024-10-20 0.023011 0.030893 0.041634 0.057677 0.081624 0.117037 0.175332
2024-10-27 0.020130 0.027904 0.038928 0.056145 0.083204 0.125621 0.200404
2024-11-03 0.018631 0.026619 0.038380 0.057555 0.089249 0.141895 0.241413
2024-11-10 0.017407 0.025552 0.037958 0.058997 0.095436 0.159363 0.288596
2024-11-17 0.016046 0.024104 0.036739 0.058908 0.098912 0.172591 0.330905
2024-11-24 0.014715 0.022552 0.035156 0.057947 0.100606 0.182716 0.369347
2024-12-01 0.013813 0.021595 0.034431 0.058356 0.104834 0.198451 0.424157
2024-12-08 0.012959 0.020630 0.033579 0.058396 0.108312 0.213253 0.481012
2024-12-15 0.012238 0.019819 0.032902 0.058658 0.112239 0.229736 0.547015
2024-12-22 0.011219 0.018466 0.031238 0.057035 0.112476 0.239166 0.601114
2024-12-29 0.010957 0.018437 0.032002 0.060389 0.124234 0.278898 0.758313
2025-01-05 0.009914 0.016898 0.029777 0.057297 0.120888 0.280464 0.800582
2025-01-12 0.009222 0.015944 0.028575 0.056204 0.122040 0.294063 0.888562
2025-01-19 0.008558 0.014987 0.027271 0.054718 0.121977 0.304392 0.970412
2025-01-26 0.008256 0.014692 0.027253 0.056085 0.129323 0.337802 1.156405
2025-02-02 0.007979 0.014420 0.027250 0.057484 0.137041 0.374711 1.379761
2025-02-09 0.007588 0.013888 0.026652 0.057398 0.140740 0.400178 1.570430
2025-02-16 0.007156 0.013243 0.025754 0.056466 0.141909 0.417735 1.736321
2025-02-23 0.006869 0.012869 0.025408 0.056862 0.147021 0.450655 2.005686
2025-03-02 0.006575 0.012459 0.024945 0.056901 0.151099 0.481313 2.288985